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Champions 2026 scoutStage 2 evidence · 16 teams · 133 series · 334 maps · 7138 rounds
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Team Liquid

TL · EMEA · VCT 2026 Stage 2
Team record
7–4
Series
17–10
Maps
54%
Rounds · 559 rounds
48%
Attack · 279 attack rounds
61%
Defense · 280 defense rounds
Team Liquid scouting sections

Team highlights

Compared with the 16 Champions teams
Top fragger takes more
% of team kills taken by its top fragger
24% 27 maps field 23%
Players keep one role
mean share of a player's maps spent on their main class
91% 27 maps field 81%
Players keep one agent
mean share of a player's maps spent on their main agent
68% 27 maps field 56%

Collision card

Results by game state

13 conditions · compared with the 16 Champions teams
won the first pistol (R1) Denominator: maps. Both bars are observed frequencies over this team's Stage 2 maps, with no model behind them. The white hairline on each track is the field's rate for this condition, 69% across 233 Champions-team maps. The pale band inside each bar is that rate's estimate range: where the true rate most likely sits, given this sample. Does the first pistol decide their map?
When they do 59% 17 maps
When they don't 7 of 10 maps
Difference -11 pts estimate range -41 to +25 pts field 19 pts
What that means
Does it change their result? The -11 pts gap sits inside an estimate range of -41 to +25 pts: real or noise, this sample cannot say. Is it a read on them? Not answerable yet: one of the two arms is 10 of 17 maps, too thin to carry a verdict.
won the second pistol (R13) Denominator: maps. Both bars are observed frequencies over this team's Stage 2 maps, with no model behind them. The white hairline on each track is the field's rate for this condition, 74% across 210 Champions-team maps. The pale band inside each bar is that rate's estimate range: where the true rate most likely sits, given this sample. Does the second pistol decide their map?
When they do 67% 12 maps
When they don't 60% 15 maps
Difference +7 pts estimate range -28 to +38 pts field 28 pts
What that means
Does it change their result? The +7 pts gap sits inside an estimate range of -28 to +38 pts: real or noise, this sample cannot say. Is it a read on them? No. Their rate with the condition is within noise of their rate without it. For scale, the field averages 74% with this condition.
won BOTH pistols Denominator: maps. Both bars are observed frequencies over this team's Stage 2 maps, with no model behind them. The white hairline on each track is the field's rate for this condition, 78% across 129 Champions-team maps. The pale band inside each bar is that rate's estimate range: where the true rate most likely sits, given this sample. When they take both pistols, do they close it out?
When they do 7 of 10 maps
When they don't 59% 17 maps
Difference +11 pts estimate range -25 to +41 pts field 26 pts
What that means
Does it change their result? The +11 pts gap sits inside an estimate range of -25 to +41 pts: real or noise, this sample cannot say. Is it a read on them? Not answerable yet: one of the two arms is 7 of 10 maps, too thin to carry a verdict.
won NEITHER pistol Denominator: maps. Both bars are observed frequencies over this team's Stage 2 maps, with no model behind them. The white hairline on each track is the field's rate for this condition, 36% across 101 Champions-team maps. The pale band inside each bar is that rate's estimate range: where the true rate most likely sits, given this sample. Can they win a map after losing both pistols?
When they do 6 of 8 maps
When they don't 58% 19 maps
Difference +17 pts estimate range -22 to +45 pts field -33 pts
What that means
Does it change their result? The +17 pts gap sits inside an estimate range of -22 to +45 pts: real or noise, this sample cannot say. Is it a read on them? Not answerable yet: one of the two arms is 6 of 8 maps, too thin to carry a verdict.
led at half-time Denominator: maps. Both bars are observed frequencies over this team's Stage 2 maps, with no model behind them. The white hairline on each track is the field's rate for this condition, 84% across 209 Champions-team maps. The pale band inside each bar is that rate's estimate range: where the true rate most likely sits, given this sample. Do they hold a half-time lead? whole field does this
When they do 87% 15 maps
When they don't 33% 12 maps
True of the field, not a read on them. They convert leads. The prep target is the FIRST half, not the comeback; a 6-6 half is already a win for you.
Difference +54 pts estimate range +16 to +75 pts field 48 pts
What that means
Does it change their result? Yes, +54 pts (+16 to +75 pts). Is it a read on them? No. The field lift is 48 pts and theirs sits +6 against it, so this is the game speaking about every team at once.
reached half-time tied 6-6 Denominator: maps. Both bars are observed frequencies over this team's Stage 2 maps, with no model behind them. The white hairline on each track is the field's rate for this condition, 58% across 59 Champions-team maps. The pale band inside each bar is that rate's estimate range: where the true rate most likely sits, given this sample. Who wins the coin-flip maps?
When they do 1 of 4 maps
When they don't 70% 23 maps
Difference -45 pts estimate range -70 to +5 pts field -3 pts
What that means
Does it change their result? The -45 pts gap sits inside an estimate range of -70 to +5 pts: real or noise, this sample cannot say. Is it a read on them? Not answerable yet: one of the two arms is 1 of 4 maps, too thin to carry a verdict.
trailed at half-time Denominator: maps. Both bars are observed frequencies over this team's Stage 2 maps, with no model behind them. The white hairline on each track is the field's rate for this condition, 28% across 147 Champions-team maps. The pale band inside each bar is that rate's estimate range: where the true rate most likely sits, given this sample. Can they come back from a half-time deficit?
When they do 3 of 8 maps
When they don't 74% 19 maps
Difference -36 pts estimate range -64 to +3 pts field -50 pts
What that means
Does it change their result? The -36 pts gap sits inside an estimate range of -64 to +3 pts: real or noise, this sample cannot say. Is it a read on them? Not answerable yet: one of the two arms is 3 of 8 maps, too thin to carry a verdict.
playing their OWN map pick Denominator: maps. Both bars are observed frequencies over this team's Stage 2 maps, with no model behind them. The white hairline on each track is the field's rate for this condition, 63% across 175 Champions-team maps. The pale band inside each bar is that rate's estimate range: where the true rate most likely sits, given this sample. Is their own pick actually their advantage?
When they do 69% 13 maps
When they don't 57% 14 maps
Difference +12 pts estimate range -22 to +43 pts field 5 pts
What that means
Does it change their result? The +12 pts gap sits inside an estimate range of -22 to +43 pts: real or noise, this sample cannot say. Is it a read on them? No. Their rate with the condition is within noise of their rate without it. For scale, the field averages 63% with this condition.
playing the OPPONENT'S pick Denominator: maps. Both bars are observed frequencies over this team's Stage 2 maps, with no model behind them. The white hairline on each track is the field's rate for this condition, 59% across 174 Champions-team maps. The pale band inside each bar is that rate's estimate range: where the true rate most likely sits, given this sample. How do they travel on someone else's pick?
When they do 58% 12 maps
When they don't 67% 15 maps
Difference -9 pts estimate range -40 to +25 pts field -2 pts
What that means
Does it change their result? The -9 pts gap sits inside an estimate range of -40 to +25 pts: real or noise, this sample cannot say. Is it a read on them? No. Their rate with the condition is within noise of their rate without it. For scale, the field averages 59% with this condition.
playing a decider (neither team picked it) Denominator: maps. Both bars are observed frequencies over this team's Stage 2 maps, with no model behind them. The white hairline on each track is the field's rate for this condition, 56% across 66 Champions-team maps. The pale band inside each bar is that rate's estimate range: where the true rate most likely sits, given this sample. How do they handle the map neither side chose? sample too thin
When they do 1 of 2 maps
When they don't 64% 25 maps
Difference -14 pts estimate range -58 to +31 pts field -5 pts
What that means
Does it change their result? The -14 pts gap sits inside an estimate range of -58 to +31 pts: real or noise, this sample cannot say. Is it a read on them? Not answerable yet: one of the two arms is 1 of 2 maps, too thin to carry a verdict.
won the previous round Denominator: non-pistol regulation rounds. Both bars are observed frequencies over this team's Stage 2 rounds, with no model behind them. The white hairline on each track is the field's rate for this condition, 64% across 4149 Champions-team rounds. The pale band inside each bar is that rate's estimate range: where the true rate most likely sits, given this sample. Do they string rounds together? exploit
When they do 69% 268 rounds
When they don't 36% 233 rounds
Break the chain: their strongest round is the one after a win, so the highest-value round to spend utility on is the one you are about to lose anyway.
Difference +33 pts estimate range +24 to +41 pts field 22 pts
What that means
Does it change their result? Yes, +33 pts (+24 to +41 pts). Is it a read on them? Yes. Their lift clears the field's own 22 pts by +11.
lost the previous round Denominator: non-pistol regulation rounds. Both bars are observed frequencies over this team's Stage 2 rounds, with no model behind them. The white hairline on each track is the field's rate for this condition, 42% across 3684 Champions-team rounds. The pale band inside each bar is that rate's estimate range: where the true rate most likely sits, given this sample. Do they answer a lost round? exploit
When they do 36% 233 rounds
When they don't 69% 268 rounds
Their reset speed. A low number means a won round is worth more than one round — press immediately.
Difference -33 pts estimate range -41 to -24 pts field -22 pts
What that means
Does it change their result? Yes, -33 pts (-41 to -24 pts). Is it a read on them? Yes. Their lift clears the field's own -22 pts by -11.
have lost 2+ rounds in a row Denominator: non-pistol regulation rounds. Both bars are observed frequencies over this team's Stage 2 rounds, with no model behind them. The white hairline on each track is the field's rate for this condition, 42% across 2039 Champions-team rounds. The pale band inside each bar is that rate's estimate range: where the true rate most likely sits, given this sample. Can they stop a slide? whole field does this
When they do 38% 137 rounds
When they don't 60% 364 rounds
True of the field, not a read on them. The skid round. If it is low, a two-round run is the moment to take risk; if high, they are hardest to close out and you should bank economy rather than force.
Difference -22 pts estimate range -31 to -12 pts field -14 pts
What that means
Does it change their result? Yes, -22 pts (-31 to -12 pts). Is it a read on them? No. The field lift is -14 pts and theirs sits -8 against it, so this is the game speaking about every team at once.

Fingerprint

TL compared with the 16-team average
Dimmed rows are not reliable for distinguishing teams. Select a stat for its source maps or calculation details.

How rounds end

Structure

Counts of distinct comps and agents grow with maps played, so each team's figure is resampled to a common 18-map exposure before comparison. The sample shown is the team's real number of maps.

Lower KAST ←→ Higher KAST team KAST 74% 27 maps field 72%
Where this number comes from does not separate teams style_dimension
SourceMatch records, every map in the archive
Sample27
Separates teams? No does not separate teams at this sample · measured reliability 0.42
Defined asA team-level style or structure dimension. value_text carries the reliability TIER that governs where it may be rendered: TEAM-SCOPED (comparable team to team), MAP-SCOPED (comparable only within a map; team-level renders greyed), REJECTED (not reproducible at this sample and never rendered as a comparison).
oldest56% – 93% across 27 mapsnewest
DateMapOpponentMap ValueAgainst this team's own range
2026-08-30 Summit Karmine Corp L 67%
2026-08-30 Lotus Karmine Corp W 81%
2026-08-30 Ascent Karmine Corp L 62%
2026-08-30 Sunset Karmine Corp L 58%
2026-08-29 Lotus FUT Esports W 70%
2026-08-29 Ascent FUT Esports W 87%
2026-08-29 Split FUT Esports W 89%
2026-08-29 Lotus Fire Flux Esports W 73%
2026-08-29 Haven Fire Flux Esports W 72%
2026-08-23 Abyss Enterprise Esports W 69%
2026-08-23 Lotus Enterprise Esports W 80%
2026-08-22 Ascent Eintracht Frankfurt W 89%
2026-08-22 Split Eintracht Frankfurt W 93%
2026-08-22 Lotus Eintracht Frankfurt L 71%
2026-08-21 Summit FUT Esports L 68%
2026-08-21 Haven FUT Esports L 63%
2026-08-02 Haven Karmine Corp L 70%
2026-08-02 Summit Karmine Corp W 73%
2026-08-02 Lotus Karmine Corp L 73%
2026-07-29 Split GIANTX W 78%
2026-07-29 Breeze GIANTX W 82%
2026-07-25 Lotus FNATIC W 80%
2026-07-25 Summit FNATIC W 87%
2026-07-19 Ascent Team Heretics W 75%
2026-07-19 Breeze Team Heretics W 73%
2026-07-16 Lotus Eternal Fire L 56%
2026-07-16 Split Eternal Fire L 66%
These 27 maps are every map the value above is measured across. It is a per-map average, so each row carries equal weight regardless of how many rounds that map ran.
TL one of the other 15 teams estimate range "fld" = 16-team average